Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.155711 0.184024 0.215635 0.253489 0.297531 0.347099 0.407060
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.110150 0.146201 0.190921 0.250235 0.326578 0.421251 0.547246
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.085601 0.124634 0.177262 0.252878 0.358119 0.498678 0.699774
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.067711 0.106654 0.162991 0.249548 0.378085 0.560558 0.837493
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.057407 0.096798 0.157343 0.255852 0.410407 0.641377 1.009656
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.047947 0.086072 0.148016 0.254189 0.429250 0.703199 1.159677
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.039805 0.075778 0.137331 0.248058 0.439180 0.751158 1.292306
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.033147 0.066709 0.127010 0.240511 0.444957 0.791998 1.416687
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.029550 0.062540 0.124477 0.245890 0.473070 0.872322 1.614921
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.026281 0.058370 0.121201 0.249217 0.497529 0.948421 1.813237
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.023246 0.054101 0.117013 0.250039 0.517106 1.017387 2.005314
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.020921 0.050900 0.114419 0.253508 0.541910 1.098103 2.226670
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.019200 0.048804 0.113938 0.261528 0.577335 1.203817 2.508840
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016543 0.044055 0.107053 0.255051 0.582372 1.251162 2.683019
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014862 0.041330 0.104226 0.256996 0.605298 1.336483 2.941597
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.013058 0.037940 0.099311 0.253439 0.615661 1.396804 3.154660
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.012056 0.036452 0.098692 0.259792 0.648875 1.508436 3.486152
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010752 0.033878 0.094972 0.258095 0.663236 1.580607 3.739579
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009406 0.030906 0.089752 0.251873 0.666017 1.627233 3.941094
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.008179 0.028027 0.084296 0.244216 0.664258 1.663189 4.121824
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007604 0.027031 0.083827 0.249673 0.695910 1.779702 4.498760
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.007009 0.025852 0.082655 0.253048 0.722615 1.887041 4.864101
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.006393 0.024471 0.080675 0.253882 0.742741 1.980390 5.204609